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Futureproofing Existing Refineries – Executive Report 2025
Over 3M barrels/day of refining capacity is already offline. This report shows how to futureproof your refinery before the next wave hits.
2 min readAs fossil fuel demand shrinks and carbon regulations tighten, this report dives deep into how legacy refineries can pivot profitably—by integrating petrochemicals, renewable fuels, green hydrogen, and more.
Inside the Report
- Petrochemicals: The New Profit Center
Why turning crude into chemicals can fetch 2.5x more value than fuel. - Green Refinery Models That Work
See how industry leaders are electrifying, decarbonizing, and localizing feedstock. - Crude-to-Chemicals at Scale
Explore ExxonMobil, Aramco, and Hengli’s pioneering strategies with hydrocracking and FCCs. - Biofuels & E-Fuels Integration
Pathways for transforming used cooking oil, municipal waste, and CO₂ into scalable fuels. - Real Tech, Real Timelines
What’s already operating, what’s coming in 2025, and what challenges remain.
The Energy Transition in Numbers
| Stat | What It Means |
|---|---|
| 3.2 Mb/d | Refining capacity shut since 2020 |
| $1400/ton | Value of petrochemicals vs. $550/ton for fuel |
| 5 Mb/d | Refining capacity projected to close in EU by 2050 |
| 9 MT | Chemicals/year from Aramco-SABIC’s upcoming complex |
| 2027 | XFuels GmbH’s green refinery goes live in Germany |
Who Should Read This
- Refinery Owners & Operators
- Energy Transition & Sustainability Officers
- Petrochemical Strategists & Downstream Leaders
- Engineering & R&D Teams
- Investors in Oil & Gas Infrastructure
Why This Report Matters
“You can sell fuels for $550 a ton… or convert to petrochemicals for $1400 a ton.”
— Senior Director, Honeywell UOP
“Over 3 million barrels per day of capacity already shut. The next wave will be deeper, faster, and global.”
📉 Without a pivot, legacy assets risk becoming stranded.
📈 With the right strategy, they become profit engines in the post-carbon economy.
